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          Fact Sheet #25 
          Alternate Planning for small forest landowners in eastern Washington 
          under the Forest and Fish Rules
       
      
         
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             August 2003 
            By Elaine Oneil 
            
            
               
                | The stated intent of Washington State's "Forest 
                  and Fish Rules" (FFR) for eastern Washington is to provide 
                  restoration of riparian function while allowing activities that 
                  can ameliorate risks associated with fire, disease, and insects 
                  within riparian zones. In addition, the FFR anticipated the 
                  need for alternate plans in situations where risks to aquatic 
                  resources are low and mitigation of economic impacts to small 
                  landowners is desired. Alternate plans must provide equivalent 
                  protection to aquatic resources, yet be simple to implement, 
                  economically desirable, and avoid unintended consequences associated 
                  with eastside disturbance vectors such as bark beetles and fire. 
                  An alternate plan approach was developed using stand density 
                  index (SDI) to integrate the economic, riparian function, and 
                  biological criteria necessary to reduce riparian stand susceptibility 
                  to infestation by Mountain Pine Beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae, 
                  Hopkins). This approach suggests one possible template for eastside 
                  alternate plans on at-risk stands. Refinement of the approach 
                  that is derived to avoid negative consequences may be a precursor 
                  to developing a desired future condition (DFC) model for the 
                  eastside which integrates variability in habitats and disturbance 
                  regimes to arrive at a dynamic range of optimal riparian conditions. 
                  The eastside dynamic range (EDR) model would reflect the integration 
                  of disturbance variables, such that stands would be placed on 
                  a trajectory toward long-term sustainability rather than away 
                  from risk avoidance. | 
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                |  
                   Analysis of the potential economic impacts of increasing 
                    riparian protection under the FFR was completed using a case 
                    study approach. Under the FFR there is considerable variability 
                    in economic impact among landowners in eastern Washington 
                    (see Factsheet 20) with owners losing up to 49% of the economic 
                    value of their holdings. This outcome is particularly apparent 
                    in drier and poorer ecosystems where basal area increase takes 
                    a substantial time period or where stands have high tree densities, 
                    but few trees exceeding 10" dbh.  
                  Given the negative economic outcomes under the FFR and the 
                    funding uncertainties under the FREP (see Factsheet 2), pursuing 
                    an alternate plan is an option landowners can choose to provide 
                    habitat value in a more cost effective manner. Alternate plans 
                    (AP) are permitted in specific situations, such as disproportionate 
                    levels of impact, or on a small harvest unit, but they must 
                    provide 'protection to public resources at least equal in 
                    overall effectiveness as provided by the act and rules' (WAC 
                    222-12-040). In effect AP must consider economic viability, 
                    and riparian stand biological condition. In the absence of 
                    an eastside DFC model, AP for eastern Washington have been 
                    developed to place riparian stands on a growth trajectory 
                    to reduce their susceptibility to loss from disturbance vectors. 
                    As an example, the biological conditions that precipitate 
                    Mountain Pine Beetle (MPB) infestations are explored for a 
                    low site class riparian zone in Okanogan County to determine 
                    the most appropriate approach for alternate planning under 
                    such circumstances. In the long term, an eastside dynamic 
                    range (EDR) model that is based on inherent disturbance regimes 
                    (Everett et al. 2000) might be preferable. 
                  Literature on MPB risk and susceptibility indicates that 
                    stands move into the range of susceptibility to insect infestations 
                    at approximately 80-100 ft2/ac of basal area (Cochran 
                    1988, Larsson et al.1983, Schmid and Mata 1992). When examining 
                    the potential for insect attack, the literature indicates 
                    that variability in site quality also drives insect infestation 
                    with drier and poorer ecosystems experiencing mortality at 
                    lower stocking levels (Cochran et al. 1994). Vigor indices 
                    indicate that for low site classes, the lower limit of susceptibility 
                    is approximately 85 ft2/acre (Cochran 1988). These 
                    susceptibility ranges and vigor indices suggest that the threshold 
                    of bark beetle susceptibility is between the upper and lower 
                    basal entry limits for inner riparian zone management under 
                    the FFR. Post harvest outcomes that meet FFR requirements 
                    for basal area and trees/acre are given in Figure 1 for all 
                    low elevation case study sites in the original analysis. Figure 
                    1 demonstrates that 75% of managed riparian stands will remain 
                    very close to the MPB threshold or in many cases exceed it 
                    under the FFR. Stands will exceed this limit, even at completion 
                    of harvest, when the combination of minimum tree count and 
                    21 largest tree requirement result in basal area retention 
                    exceeding 85 ft2/acre of basal area. Basal area 
                    growth between harvest entries will always exceed this limit 
                    of susceptibility because re-entry is not permitted until 
                    the upper basal area limit established under FFR is reached. 
                   
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                  | Figure 1:  | 
                  BA distribution 
                    post harvest for riparian inner zones in low elevation case 
                    study sites under the FFR.  | 
                 
               
              Outcomes depicted in Figure 1 suggest that AP that 
                alter stand density and thus mitigate insect dynamics while still 
                meeting economic and riparian functional requirements are needed. 
                In determining appropriate thresholds, AP to address MPB risk 
                must consider "stockability". Stockability refers to 
                the inherent biological carrying capacity of the site which can 
                be inferred from the plant association or habitat type (Cochran 
                et al. 1994, Fiedler et al. 1988). Stockability measures are derived 
                relative to 'normal' or full stocking using site index (SI), maximum 
                SDI, and growth basal area (GBA) (Cochran et al. 1994). The types 
                of relationships between inherent carrying capacity of low productivity 
                sites and insect attack identified in the figures and literature 
                would indicate that AP on low productivity sites should look at 
                maintaining lower basal areas than those that occur under the 
                FFR criteria, given current stand conditions. In addition, linking 
                harvest timing to mortality indices and basal area increment decline 
                rather than FFR upper basal area limits, could reduce the stand 
                stress that is a precursor to MPB infestation. Under the FFR, 
                riparian function is maintained using 5 key leave tree requirements: 
                minimum BA, TPA and DBH, upper BA limit, and largest tree requirements. 
                Collectively, these variables can be described using stand density 
                index or SDI, which forms a baseline metric for comparison of 
                disparate stand conditions to the riparian functional requirement. 
                 
                Stand density index (SDI), as given by the equation SDI = TPA(DBHq/10)1.6, 
                gives a relative density measure of the number of 10" trees/acre 
                of land (Reineke 1933). Calculating a SDI for the FFR riparian 
                requirements of 50 TPA> 10" and a basal area of 60 square 
                feet/acre gives a SDI value of 95. For low elevation stands, the 
                minimum acceptable target SDI is 95 with only trees >10" 
                dbh considered acceptable in meeting riparian functional requirements. 
                With alternate planning, the options for meeting the SDI requirements 
                can be expanded by considering the dual metrics of stand density 
                (TPA) and quadratic mean diameter (DBHq). Table 1 outlines the 
                relationship between these metrics in meeting the SDI goal of 
                95. It should be noted that in all cases the basal area for a 
                SDI of 95 is below the threshold for MPB infestation for either 
                ponderosa or lodgepole pine. If we use the SDI of 95 as an acceptable 
                measure of riparian functionality and treat the riparian zone 
                in case study 7, a site in Okanogan County that continues to experience 
                mortality from mountain pine beetle, the metrics are given in 
                Table 2. If riparian function is given by a SDI of 95, then these 
                riparian stands largely meet or exceed that goal. The stands also 
                maintain a basal area below that of the susceptibility level for 
                MPB. Table 3 compares the economic outcomes relative to the baseline 
                under FFR and the AP developed to address riparian functional 
                requirements while addressing bark beetle risk for Case 7. 
                
                
              
                 
                   
                    
                       
                        | Table 1: | 
                        Options for meeting 
                          a Stand Density Index goal of 95. | 
                       
                     
                   | 
                   
                    
                       
                        | Table 2: | 
                        Range of riparian stand 
                          metrics over a 90 year simulation period for Case 7 | 
                       
                     
                   | 
                 
                 
                   
                    
                       
                         | 
                         
                           SDI 
                         | 
                         
                           TPA 
                         | 
                         
                           DBHq 
                         | 
                         
                           BA 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           10 
                         | 
                         
                           52 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           82 
                         | 
                         
                           11 
                         | 
                         
                           54 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           71 
                         | 
                         
                           12 
                         | 
                         
                           56 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           62 
                         | 
                         
                           13 
                         | 
                         
                           58 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           55 
                         | 
                         
                           14 
                         | 
                         
                           59 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        | FFR | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           50 
                         | 
                         
                           14.9 
                         | 
                         
                           60 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           50 
                         | 
                         
                           15 
                         | 
                         
                           61 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           45 
                         | 
                         
                           16 
                         | 
                         
                           63 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           41 
                         | 
                         
                           17 
                         | 
                         
                           64 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           37 
                         | 
                         
                           18 
                         | 
                         
                           66 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           34 
                         | 
                         
                           19 
                         | 
                         
                           67 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           31 
                         | 
                         
                           20 
                         | 
                         
                           68 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           29 
                         | 
                         
                           21 
                         | 
                         
                           70 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           27 
                         | 
                         
                           22 
                         | 
                         
                           71 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           25 
                         | 
                         
                           23 
                         | 
                         
                           72 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                         
                           95 
                         | 
                         
                           23 
                         | 
                         
                           24 
                         | 
                         
                           74 
                         | 
                       
                     
                   | 
                   
                    
                       
                        |  
                           metric 
                         | 
                         
                           DBHq >6" dbh 
                         | 
                         
                           TPA >6" dbh 
                         | 
                         
                           TBA 
                         | 
                         
                           SDI 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        | average | 
                         
                           11.9 
                         | 
                         
                           75 
                         | 
                         
                           58.2 
                         | 
                         
                           116 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        | max | 
                         
                           14 
                         | 
                         
                           117 
                         | 
                         
                           66.5 
                         | 
                         
                           141 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        | min | 
                         
                           9.8 
                         | 
                         
                           49 
                         | 
                         
                           51 
                         | 
                         
                           97 
                         | 
                       
                     
                      
                      
                      
                    
                       
                        | Table 3: | 
                        Percentage change of 
                          NPV (as compared to the baseline) over 90 years between 
                          FFR and an AP for Case 7 that addresses MPB risk. | 
                       
                     
                    
                       
                        | Scenario | 
                        % change | 
                       
                       
                        | No Riparian Harvest | 
                         
                           -9% 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        | Inner Zone Single Entry | 
                         
                           -10% 
                         | 
                       
                       
                        | Alternate Plan  | 
                         
                           10% 
                         | 
                       
                     
                      
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              Mortality and stand basal area growth rate declines 
                were apparent in the simulation results for Case 7 once the stands 
                exceed 80-90 square feet of basal area/acre. This decline is consistent 
                with the literature which indicates that growth rates, as determined 
                by basal area increment, decline at these stocking levels (Fiedler 
                et al.1988, Larsson et al. 1983). Alternate plan strategies for 
                Case 7 used the simulated growth rate decline as an indicator 
                for riparian stand entry which meant that stand entry occurred 
                prior to meeting the required upper basal area limit. At entry, 
                a SDI of approximately 95 with approximately 50-60 square feet 
                of basal area and 50 trees > 10" dbh were retained. Limits 
                on leaving the 21 largest trees were ignored to effect basal area 
                reduction without excessive loss of tree cover necessary to meet 
                shade requirements. A comparison of the outcomes for FFR and the 
                AP are given in Figure 2. Figure 2 indicates that the average 
                stand condition over 90 years under the FFR scenario is on the 
                isoline where mortality from MPB can be expected. Under a no management 
                scenario, as would occur in the core zone, stands fall below the 
                MPB risk zone in only 1 of 9 decades. In contrast, the AP scenario 
                maintains an average basal area below the MPB risk level in all 
                decades. For case study 7, the alternate plan is much more likely 
                to address a currently existing MPB infestation than the FFR. 
                The alternate planning approach used in this example could be 
                applied for many situations where stocking control is desirable 
                to avoid the unintended consequences of MPB infestation within 
                riparian zones. Given the range of options in the look-up table 
                (Table 1) for low elevation sites, optimal solutions regarding 
                the number and size of leave trees can be varied to address specific 
                LWD or shade requirements on a specific stream reach.  
              Conclusions
               
                The stated intent of the rules in eastern Washington is to 
                  provide for restoration of riparian function while allowing 
                  activities that can ameliorate risks associated with disturbance 
                  agents within riparian zones. The development of AP that address 
                  susceptibility factors associated with MPB infestation while 
                  meeting riparian habitat requirements provide a potential solution. 
                  Adoption of a multi-metric approach that considers the equivalency 
                  of SDI across acceptable tree diameter classes can provide a 
                  mechanism to achieve risk reduction for multiple resource values, 
                  while improving economic consequences. Sensitivity analysis 
                  indicated that the growth models used in this analysis responded 
                  to site and habitat type parameters; this information can be 
                  used to tailor AP by habitat type to better reflect biological 
                  limits and stressors. In the long term, an eastside dynamic 
                  range model (EDR) might be a more comprehensive approach than 
                  risk avoidance approaches. 
                
               
              
                 
                  | Figure 2: | 
                  Basal area relationships under 
                    AP and FFR scenarios for Case 7 riparian zones.  | 
                 
               
                
                
                
             
            
              -  
                
Cochran, 1988, Stocking Levels for Managed 
                  even-aged stands of Ponderosa Pine in Baumgartner David 
                  M. and James E. Lotan eds., Ponderosa Pine - The Species and 
                  its Management, Symposium Proceedings, Sept 29-Oct 1, 1987, 
                  Spokane WA, WSU Cooperative Extension, Pullman WA. 
                   
                 
               
              -  
                
Cochran, P.H., J.M. Geist, D.L, Clemens, Roderick 
                  R. Clausnitzer and David C. Powell, 1994, Suggested stocking 
                  levels for forest stands in northeastern Oregon and southeastern 
                  Washington., USDA Forest Service, PNW Station, Research Note 
                  #513. (PNW-RN-513, April 1994).  
                   
                 
               
              -  
                
Everett, R.H., J. Townsley, and D. Baumgartner, 
                  2000, Chapter 11: Inherent Disturbance Regimes: A Reference 
                  for Evaluating the Longterm Maintenance of Ecosystems in 
                  Journal of Sustainable Forestry, 11(1/2):265-288. 
                   
                 
               
              -  
                
Fiedler, Carl, Roland Becker and Steve Haglund, 
                  1988, Preliminary Guidelines for Uneven-aged Silvicultural 
                  Prescriptions in Ponderosa Pine in Baumgartner David M. 
                  and James E. Lotan eds., Ponderosa Pine - The Species and its 
                  Management, Symposium Proceedings, Sept 29-Oct 1, 1987, Spokane 
                  WA, WSU Cooperative Extension, Pullman WA.  
                   
                 
               
              -  
                
Larsson, S., R. Oren, R.H. Waring, J.W. Barrettt, 
                  1983, Attacks of Mountain Pine Beetle as Related to Tree Vigor 
                  of Ponderosa Pine, Forest Science 29(2):395-402. 
                   
                 
               
              -  
                
Reineke, L.H., 1933, Perfecting a stand density 
                  index for even-aged forests, J. Agric Res. 46:627-638. 
                   
                 
               
              -  
                
Schmid, J.M. and S.A. Mata, 1992, Stand Density 
                  and Mountain Pine Beetle caused Tree Mortality in Ponderosa 
                  Pine Stands, USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Forest and 
                  Range Experimental Station, Research Note #515.. (RN-RM-515, 
                  Mar 1992).  
                   
                 
               
              -  
                
WAC 222-12-040, 2001, Washington Administrative 
                  Code § 222-12-040 Alternate Plans - Policy. 
                 
               
             
            
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